Designs and Models for Aquatic Resource Surveys

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Statistics for Aquatic Resources: Monitoring, Modeling, and Management
Oregon Plan/DAMARS/STARMAP
September 7-9, Oregon State University

(Go to http://oregonstate.edu/dept/statistics/epa_program/meeting.html for registration information)

Wednesday, September 7

Continental Breakfast: 7:00 a.m. - 8:00 a.m.

Registration: 7:30 a.m. – 8:00 a.m

Short Course: Designing Aquatic Resources Surveys 8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.

Break: 9:45 - 10:15

Lunch: 12:00 p.m. - 1:00 p.m. (Included in registration)

Short Course: Designing Aquatic Resources Surveys 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.

Break: 2:45 - 3:15

Thursday, September 8

Continental Breakfast: 7:00 a.m. - 8:00 a.m.

Registration: 7:30 a.m. – 8:00 a.m.

Welcome, opening remarks, theme of conference: 8:00 a.m. – 9:30 a.m.
      Don Stevens: Welcome & Theme of Conference
      Scott Urquhart: Overview of STARMAP
      Don Stevens: Overview of DAMARS

Break: 9:15 - 9:45

Concurrent Sessions:      Oregon Plan Monitoring Conference
                                          SARMMM Technical Session I: 9:45a.m. - 12:00 p.m.

Lunch: 12 p.m. – 1 p.m. (Included in registration)


Concurrent Sessions:      Oregon Plan Monitoring Conference
                                          SARMMM Technical Session II: 1:00p.m. - 2:45 p.m.

Break: 2:45 p.m. - 3:15 p.m.

Concurrent Sessions:      Oregon Plan Monitoring Conference
                                          SARMMM Technical Session III: 3:15p.m. - 5:00 p.m.

Mixer & buffet at Tyee Wine Cellars: 6:00 p.m. - 8 p.m. (Included in registration)
Shuttle from hotel beginning at 5:30

Friday, September 9

Continental Breakfast: 7:45 - 8:15 (Included in registration)

Joint Plenary Session Oregon Plan/DAMARS/STARMAP 8:15 a.m. – 9:30 p.m.

Break: 9:30 - 10:00

Joint Plenary Session Oregon Plan/DAMARS/STARMAP 10:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.

Lunch: 12 p.m. – 1 p.m. (Included in registration)

SARMMM Technical Session IV: Monitoring and Sampling Aquatic Resources: Theory & Applications 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m.

Break: 2:45 p.m. - 3:15 p.m.

SARMMM Technical Session V: Trend Detection & Modeling 3:15 pm - 5:00 pm

Meeting of DAMARS /STARMAP Scientific Advisory Committee 5:00 - 6:00 pm
(Closed Session)

SARMMM Technical Sessions
Thursday, September 8

Session I: Modeling Aquatic Resources: 9:45 a.m. – 12 p.m.

Penalized Spline Regression Estimation of Finite Population Totals under Two-Stage Sampling Mark Delorey, Colorado State University

A Generalized Model for In-Season Forecast of Salmon Return, Saang-Yoon Hyun, Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission, David Salinger, University of Washington, Stuart Ellis, Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission

Integration of Spatial Information and Spatial Statistics: Forecasting Wetlands Along the Texas Coastal Area, Mohammed A. Kalkhan, PhD and Ricardo D. Lopez Lopez, PhD

Acid Neutralizing Capacity CDF Estimation in the Northeastern Lakes Survey: A Nonparametric Model Calibrated Pseudo Empirical Maximum Likelihood Approach, M.Giovanna Ranalli, Colorado State University

Low-rank Smoothing Splines on Complex Domain: Smoothing Estuaries. Haonan Wang and M.Giovanna Ranalli, Colorado State University

Nonparametric Small Area Estimation Using Penalized Spline Regression. J. D. Opsomer, Iowa State University, G. Claeskens, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, M. G. Ranalli, Colorado State University, G. Kauermann, Universit¨at Bielefeld, F. J. Breidt, Colorado State University


Session II: Spatial Models for Stream Networks: 1:00 p.m. - 2:45 p.m.

Invited Speaker: Spatial Statistical Models that Use Flow and Stream Distance, Jay M. Ver Hoef, National Marine Mammal Laboratory, Erin Peterson, Colorado State University, David Theobald, Colorado State University

Functional Linkage of Watersheds and Streams Using Landscape Networks of Reach Contributing Areas, David M. Theobald, John Norman, and Erin Peterson, Colorado State University

Spatial prediction of Coho salmon counts on stream networks, Dan Dalthorp and Lisa Madsen, Oregon State University

Cholesky Factorization Models for Within-Stream Network Dependence, William Coar Colorado State University

Quantifying Fragmentation of Freshwater Systems Using a Measure of Discharge Modification and a Hydrological Spatial Scan Statistic, David M. Theobald, Colorado State University, John Norman, Colorado State University, and David M. Merritt, Colorado State University and USDA Rocky Mountain Research Station


Session III: Model Selection 3:15 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.

Spatial Lasso with Application to GIS Model Selection, F. Jay Breidt, Colorado State University

Geostatistical Modeling:  Model Selection and Parameter Estimation, Jennifer Hoeting, Colorado State University

Bayesian Selection of Geostatistical Regression Models, Devin Johnson, University of Alaska, Fairbanks

Connecting Correlated GIS Predictors Using Graphical Models, Alix I. Gitelman and Kathryn Georgitis, Oregon State University

Structural Break Detection in Time Series, Richard Davis, Thomas Lee and Gabriel Rodriguez-Yam, Colorado State University


Friday, September 9

Session IV: Monitoring and Sampling Aquatic Resources: Theory & Applications 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m.

Invited Speaker: Spatial Prediction on a River Network, Noel Cressie, The Ohio State University

Variability among Continuous-Domain Samples Characterized by the Point Pattern of a Non-Probability Sample, Cynthia Cooper, Oregon State University

Utility of Site-Based Sampling for Characterizing Watersheds and Fish Distribution Patterns, R. E. Gresswell, USGS-NRMSC, A. R. Olsen, USEPA NHEERL, Western Ecology Division, D. S. Bateman, Oregon State University, D. P. Larsen, USEPA NHEERL, Western Ecology Division, Christian Torgersen, USGS- FRESC, David Hockman-Wert, USGS- FRESC

Estimates of Year-to-Year Variability for Physical Habitat, Riparian Vegetation, and Macroinvertebrate Attributes, Rick Henderson, US Forest Service - PIBO Effectiveness Monitoring Program

The Concept of a Master Sample: An Oregon Case Study, David P. Larsen, USEPA, Anthony R. Olsen, USEPA, Don L. Stevens, Jr., Oregon State University,


Session V: Trend Detection & Modeling 3:15 pm - 5:00 pm

Invited Speaker: Methods for Trend Analysis of Water Quality in Coastal Environments, Anders Grimvall, Linkφping University, Sweden

Detection of Short Term Trends in Water Quality Data Lieven Clement and Olivier Thas, Ghent University, Belgium

Developments in Trend Detection in Aquatic Surveys, Scott Urquhart, Colorado State University

An Application of Estimating Equations and Quadratic Inference Functions in Complex Surveys, Leigh Ann Harrod and Virginia Lesser, Oregon State University

Estimating Trend in Oregon Coastal Coho Salmon Populations Using a Multi-Panel Sampling Design, William Gaeuman and Don L. Stevens, Jr., Oregon State University

Oregon Plan Monitoring Conference Sessions

Thursday, September 8
Oregon Plan Session I: 9:45 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.

Introduction and goals of session       Sieglitz/Rodgers – 10 minutes

Agency monitoring (current efforts and future direction) –
      - OWEB – Sieglitz – 25 minutes
      - ODFW – Bowles – 25 minutes
      - ODF – Dent/Weikel – 25 minutes
      - ODEQ – Pettit – 25 minutes
      - ODA – Measeles – 25 minutes


Oregon Plan Session II: 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.

Oregon Plan (current efforts and future direction – continued)

       - OWRD – Colbert/Ball – 25 minutes
      - ODSL –Metz – 25 minutes
      - IMST - Molina – 25 minutes

Monitoring Resources/Tools/Coordination       - CSMEP - Marmorek – 15 minutes
      - PNAMP – O’Neal– 15 minutes

Break 2:45 – 3:15

Monitoring Resources/Tools/Coordination (continued)
     - DAMARS/STARMAP – Stevens, Urquhart – 15 minutes
     - EPA – Larsen – 15 minutes
     - NOAA Fisheries – Jordan – 15 minutes

Open discussion: How do we proceed from here?
      Sieglitz moderator- 1 hour & continued into the evening at Tyee


Friday, September 9


Joint Oregon Plan/DAMARS/STARMAP Plenary Session I: 8:15 a.m. – 9:30 a.m.

Introduction and goals of session – Rodgers/Stevens - 10 minutes

Building Momentum and Combating Entropy: Lessons Learned from Oregon Plan Monitoring Efforts – Moore – 25 minutes

Monitoring lessons learned from Coastal Coho Assessment – Nicholas – 25 minutes

Funding opportunities in environmental statistics from the USGS - Brian Gray - 15 min

Break 9:30 a.m. - 10:00 a.m.

Joint Oregon Plan/DAMARS/STARMAP Plenary Session II: 10:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m.

Analytical and survey design issues related to habitat monitoring identified during Coastal Coho Assessment – Jones – 20 minutes

Analytical and survey design issues related to coho spawner monitoring identified during Coastal Coho Assessment – Moore – 20 minutes

Analytical and survey design issues related to water quality monitoring identified during Coastal Coho Assessment – Mulvey – 20 minutes

Application of Probabilistic Survey Design to Bull Trout Monitoring – Jacobs – 20 minutes

How do we proceed from here? - Open discussion – Rodgers/Stevens moderators – 40 minutes










   


Statistics Department
Statistics Department


This project is funded by U.S. EPA Science To Achieve Results (STAR) Program, Grant #CR-829095.